My Writings. My Thoughts.
Friday May 29, 2015
// May 29th, 2015 // Comments Off on Friday May 29, 2015 // Daily News
GDP will be factor for market
CNBC.com
Be it the result of port strikes, weather or some weird seasonal factor, expectations are U.S. growth contracted in the first quarter and just how much could be an important factor in markets Friday.
Economists expect a 1 percent decline in first-quarter GDP, after an original print showed a 0.2 percent gain. That was down from 2.2 percent growth in the fourth quarter.
With the Fed’s promise to decide on interest rate hikes based on economic data, even backward-looking data has become a big deal. The dollar this week has edged ahead, especially against the yen, on expectations of central bank rate increases this year, and each piece of positive data has given it a nudge.
“If GDP comes in decent, it’s going to give it another push,” said Boris Schlossberg, managing director of foreign exchange strategy at BK Asset Management. The dollar rose to a 12 ½-year high against the yen early Thursday but gave up some gains later in the day.
Besides GDP at 8:30 a.m. ET, there is also Chicago PMI at 9:45 a.m. and consumer sentiment at 10 a.m.
“They only care if it’s different than expectations,” said Steve Massocca, managing director of Wedbush Securities, of the GDP revision. “If it’s worse than expectations, that pushes the Fed back. If it’s better than expectations it pulls the Fed forward. It’s a little bit of good news is bad news. … It’s kind of like golf, you want to drive it right down the middle.”
Read MoreFed’s Bullard: GDP targeting a better fix than low rates
This year’s first-quarter GDP has been especially under the spotlight as economists attempted to ascertain whether the economy was facing a temporary setback or something more enduring that could affect the Fed’s decision-making. Many economists blame the weather and the port strike, but also note a lingering weakness that knocked their expectations of a bigger rebound for the second quarter.
CNBC, meanwhile, reported in April that the GDP data are potentially flawed because of unexplained, persistent weakness in the first quarter. The Bureau of Economic Analysis, which compiles GDP, has since acknowledged problems and said it has a “multi-pronged action plan” to improve its estimates, including seasonal adjustments. It intends to include new estimates with the release of second-quarter GDP June 30.
Read MoreFirst GDP, now productivity: Another data flaw?
Stocks moved slightly lower Thursday, with the Dow down 36 to 18,126 and the S&P 500 dropping 2 at 2,120. The Nasdaq fell 8 to 5,097, a day after it hit a record high.
U.S. equities took their cue from overseas markets, concerned that the news out of Greece is not as optimistic for a debt deal as markets believed Wednesday. The IMF’s managing director, Christine Lagarde, said there is still a lot of work ahead before a deal could be made with Greece.
“The only ones saying there’s a deal are the Greeks,” said Art Cashin, director of floor operations for UBS at the NYSE. Greece’s government has said it aims to reach a deal with lenders by Sunday.
Today’s Inspiration
Don’t Quit!
by Joyce Meyer – posted May 29, 2015
And let us not lose heart and grow weary and faint in acting nobly and doing right, for in due time and at the appointed season we shall reap, if we do not loosen and relax our courage and faint. Galatians 6:9
Life is a struggle, and the devil is determined to defeat and destroy us. We don’t ever reach the place where we never have to fight. But it’s not just our fight. Jesus is not only with us, but He is for us. He’s at our side to strengthen us and to urge us onward.
“Don’t quit. Don’t give up.” That’s the message we need to hear. I think of the words of Isaiah: Fear not, for I have redeemed you … ; I have called you by your name; you are Mine. When you pass through the waters, I will be with you, and through the rivers, they will not overwhelm you. When you walk through the fire, you will not be burned or scorched, nor will the flame kindle upon you (Isaiah 43:1-2).
This is God’s promise. He doesn’t promise to take us completely out of troubles or hardships, but He does promise to be with us as we go through them. “Fear not,”‘ He says. That’s the message we need to ponder. We don’t need to fear because God is with us. And when God is with us, what is there to worry about?
God, despite my failures, You are with me, encouraging me not to give up. Please help me to remember that, with Your help, I can win. In the name of Jesus, I pray. Amen.
Thursday May 28, 2015
// May 28th, 2015 // Comments Off on Thursday May 28, 2015 // Daily News
Asian stocks mostly lower, with Shanghai Comp down 6.5%
CNBC.com
Mainland markets were the biggest losers in the region on Thursday, as fears over tighter requirements on margin financing ignited risk-off sentiment. The rest of the region, meanwhile, shrugged off an inspiring lead from the U.S. overnight to trade mixed.
Overnight, Wall Street ended sharply higher, with the tech-heavy Nasdaq logging a record high close, amid a slight pause in recent climbs in the dollar and bond yields. The Dow Jones Industrial Average and S&P 500 settled up 0.67 and 0.92 percent, respectively.
European stocks also rallied following news that debt-stricken Greece has started crafting an agreement with its international bailout supervisors.
China’s key Shanghai Composite widened losses in the afternoon session to end down 6.5 percent at a near one-week low, marking its biggest one-day loss since January 19 and breaking an eight-session winning streak. The CSI 300 index of the largest listed companies in Shanghai and Shenzhen tumbled 6.7 percent, while the start-up board ChiNext sank 5.4 percent.
News that more Chinese brokerages are tightening margin lending rules seem to be the main cause of concern among retail investors, experts say. According to IG market strategist Bernard Aw, Guosen Securities increased the margin requirement for 908 counters while Southwest Securities reduced the amount of margin financing that traders can receive using collateral.
Separately, the Shanghai Securities News also reported that regulators have recently urged banks to submit data regarding money flows into the stock market, according to Reuters.
Financial and property heavyweights saw steep declines; China Construction Bank and Bank of China sank more than 5 percent each, while Shanghai Shimao and Gemdale lost 9.5 and 8.9 percent, respectively.
Meanwhile, Hong Kong’s Hang Seng index tracked their mainland peers to close down 2.2 percent, hitting a two-week low.
Shares of Hong Kong-listed Evergrande Real Estate Group inched up 0.1 percent after announcing plans to raise around $600 million in a Hong Kong share offering. Sunac China Holdings plunged 7.06 percent following news that it is terminating a takeover deal for troubled Chinese developer Kaisa.
Today’s Inspiration
Don’t Waste Your Pain
by Joyce Meyer – posted May 28, 2015
All things work together and are [fitting into a plan] for good to and for those who love God and are called according to [His] design and purpose. Romans 8:28
Life is full of unjust situations that create a great deal of pain for you, especially in your relationship with other people. You will experience some hurt and pain, but you don’t have to allow these experiences to destroy your happiness. You can’t always choose what happens to you, but you can choose how you respond to it.
If you’ve been hurt, God can take your bad experiences and make them work for your good. Believing this truth is a positive decision that can help stop your pain.
Choose to learn from the hurtful experiences instead of wasting your pain by allowing them to make you bitter. One way to do this is to overcome evil with good by making sure you don’t hurt others. It’s a good place to start!